Graham Ruthven | Weekend Betting Preview
Player to score – Ivan Toney (Brentford v Tottenham) – 27/5
Tottenham Hotspur will face Brentford on the back of a shock home defeat to Brighton with the Bees in excellent form having won their last three Premier League fixtures in a row. Much of the focus during this run has been on new signing Christian Eriksen, and the Dane has lifted the level of Thomas Frank’s side, but Ivan Toney’s good goalscoring form has also been a factor.
Indeed, Toney has found the back of the net nine times in his last 10 matches. He has also scored in four of his last five home matches. Against Spurs, Toney will match-up against a defensive line that can be physically bullied. If Eriksen can pull the strings like he has done in recent weeks, Toney will get opportunities.
Player to be carded – Bruno Fernandes (Arsenal v Manchester United) – 11/4
Manchester United are at their lowest ebb since the retirement of Sir Alex Ferguson nine years ago with the mid-week defeat to Liverpool an illustration of their dysfunction as a team. Bruno Fernandes was one of the few players to visibly show his frustration in a number of tackles and off-the-ball incidents and there’s a good chance that simmering rage will bubble to the surface again this weekend.
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Scott McTominay (nine) is the only United player to have picked up more yellow cards than Fernandes (eight) in the Premier League this season and the Portuguese midfielder will face another tricky test at the Emirates Stadium on Saturday. So much of Arsenal’s attacking play flows through their midfield, Fernandes is a good bet for a booking.
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Match to be a draw – Lazio v AC Milan – 49/20
This season’s Scudetto race is incredibly difficult to call, not because of the quality of the teams involved, but because AC Milan, Inter and Napoli continue to trip over each other. AC Milan claimed a 2-0 win over Genoa last weekend, but suffered a damaging 3-0 defeat to Inter in the Coppa Italia during the week and have won just one of their last three Serie A fixtures.
Stefano Pioli’s team have scored just two goals in their last four games in all competitions while Lazio are unbeaten in 27 of their last 29 league matches at home. Maurizio Sarri’s team have had troubles keeping things tight at the back in recent games, but they carry genuine goal threat and have found the back of the net in 10 of their last 11 outings in all competitions
Both teams to score – Bayern Munich v Borussia Dortmund – 7/20
Bayern Munich can clinch a 10th successive Bundesliga title with a win over Borussia Dortmund this weekend. While Dortmund sit second in the table, the two rivals haven’t ever been especially close to each other this season, but both teams are strongest in attack and weakest in defence. This suggests Bayern Munich and Dortmund will both find the back of the net in this fixture.
There has been over 2.5 goals in 14 of the last 16 matches between Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund. Der Klassiker is a fixture that tends to produce goals with Dortmund, for all their obvious faults as a unit under Marco Rose, still one of the most dangerous attacking units in the German game – they have yet to draw a blank in 2022.
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Der Klassiker is always a notable fixture on the European football schedule and that will certainly be the case this weekend with the Bundesliga title on the line. Of course, Bayern Munich have the championship all but in the bag, such is the commanding nine-point lead they hold, but Borussia Dortmund are still a dangerous outfit.
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