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Opta Bet Builder | MD5: Newcastle besieged as The Clarets fall flat

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Opta Bet Builder | MD5: Newcastle besieged as The Clarets fall flat

Opta|19 September 2025

AFTER the excitement and glamour of this week’s European clashes we return to the bread and butter of domestic football, with glitzy games aplenty! The Merseyside Derby kicks things off with a lunchtime thriller. After serving up yet another last-gasp winner against Atleti, will we witness another late finale from Liverpool? Spurs will hope for some capital gains at the Amex, while Arsenal will be hoping to keep the Norwegian Nightmare quiet after Haaland continued his scoring run against Napoli midweek.

The guys from OPTA are back, scouring their records and using their incredible database of match facts and stats to determine the best bets from a selection of this weekend’s Premier League games.

Check out their best bets, below!


BRIGHTON vs TOTTENHAM

Each of Brighton and Tottenham’s last five Premier League meetings have seen both sides score, while the Seagulls have both scored and conceded in 13 of their last 16 league games overall, including eight of their last nine at home.

Both teams to score | 13/25

 

BURNLEY vs NOTTINGHAM FOREST

Ange Postecoglou has won five of his six away games against newly promoted sides in the Premier League (D1), while he also won home and away against Burnley in 2023-24 as Tottenham manager.

 

BOURNEMOUTH vs NEWCASTLE

Bournemouth have won each of their last three Premier League games, and are unbeaten in all six of their league matches against Eddie Howe’s Newcastle side (W2 D4).

 

ARSENAL vs MAN CITY

Arsenal’s last two Premier League home games against Manchester City have seen the combined xG of both sides total 2.69 – an average of 1.35, the lowest of any exact Premier League fixture to have been played 2+ times since 2023-24. This fixture at the Emirates has also averaged just 17.5 shots in those last two meetings, with just one exact fixture with 2+ games seeing a lower average in this time.

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